Scott
E. Leishman
Embry-Riddle
Aeronautical University – Worldwide
ASCI
Graduate Capstone Project
Submitted
to the Worldwide Campus
In
Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements of the Degree of
Master
of Aeronautical Science
July,
2018
Abstract
An area of the National Airspace System that
is deeply impacted by volume of aircraft is air traffic control (ATC). As the
volume increases, the demand for a controller’s workload does as well. Research
has demonstrated without adequate personnel, sufficient automation, and lack of
accepted technology, ATC workload can and will lead to an increase in delays,
incidents, and mishaps. This project illustrates the various human factors that
affect ATC, and how the addition of unmanned aircraft impacts National Airspace
system (NAS). The project found correlation between controller workload and the
incorporation of unmanned aircraft systems. The correlation indicated that
controllers can become overloaded, due to the unique nature of unmanned
aircraft, and are susceptible to create loss of separation events. This project
also details the economic impact unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) have on the
United States economy. Key discussions throughout this research inquiry are
directed at understanding what automation is needed, what technology is viewed
as adequate, and how to decrease workload while maintaining efficiency in the
NAS. With this research inquiry, alternative controlling techniques are
reviewed, to include creating a separate airspace system that could work in
unison with unmanned aircraft and manned aircraft.
Keywords:
Air traffic control, National Airspace system, workload, stress management,
unmanned aircraft systems, safety management systems, Federal Aviation
Administration
Proposal
Objective. The research proposed
for this project will examine the effects of having an increased workload with
a diminishing number of qualified air traffic controllers. More specifically,
this research will be directed towards how air traffic controllers will manage
unmanned aircraft, an area in aviation that does not have extensive research
documented. There are a variety of issues that need to be addressed to fully
implement unmanned aircraft in the NAS. The findings from this research will
aid future lawmakers and technology developers to create systems that can work
effectively together with the human-machine interface.
Scope.
Fully
certified professional controllers (CPC) are sitting at a 30-year low (Gilbert, 2016), with only 10,667 CPC within
the United States. This decrease began in 2011 and has caused staffing of
controllers to decrease by 10% ("2018-2027 Air Traffic Control Workforce Plan", 2018). With
the total time for a controller to get qualified at busier facilities taking on
average approximately 2 years, should this trend continue, there will not be
adequate personnel to handle the influx of unmanned aircraft. In a study performed by the U.S. Department
of transportation, UAS are expected to grow from a few hundred to
approximately 10,000, with over 90 percent of these vehicles categorized as
Nano, Micro, or Small UAS for Federal Agency use. Alternatively, as of 2016
there have been over 626,000 hobbyists who have registered to operate a
non-commercial UAS. This number has shown the potential to increase to 4.5
million over the next 20 years (Glaneuski, 2013).
This becomes problematic for a couple of reasons, with one
being hiring plans for future air traffic controllers versus retirements. Other
issues include legislation governing UAS and problems arising from inadequate technological updates to the
NAS. The NAS has fallen behind on incorporating important technology, this
technology is important for full implementation of UAS platforms. Having
technology such as the low-altitude tracking and avoidance system (LATAS) or
unmanned traffic management (UTM) would greatly enhance an air traffic
controllers’ ability to manage the airspace in which UAS operate. Without
conducting research into human factors issues related to ATC, and understanding
how this affected by UAS, it would be difficult to assess how quickly UAS could
be implemented and utilized. This problem will only become larger without
countermeasures, sufficient automation, updates to technology, legislation, or
a proactive plan (Sondgeroth, 2018).
Methodology. To understand the role ATC human factors plays
regarding UAS in the NAS, a quantitative research approach will be used to
evaluate issues affecting human factors, staffing levels, and technology made
available to controllers. Using this same approach, the project will
demonstrate components of the SHEL model, and how each of those interfaces are
impacted. The data used for this project will be gathered from previous human
factor studies involving air traffic controllers. Limitations to this project
include not enough real-world data involving unmanned aircraft. The data for
this project will be obtained from research studies that measure workload and
performance of air traffic controllers. Task demand and workload play an
important role on safety and efficiency of air traffic. This project will use ATC human in the loop
(HITL) simulation to investigate task demand variation on workload and
performance.
Program
Outcomes that will be addressed in this project:
Program
Outcome #1
Students will be able to apply
the fundamentals of air transportation as part of a global, multimodal
transportation system, including the technological, social, environmental, and
political aspects of the system to examine, compare, analyze and recommend
conclusions.
An investigation into how the air traffic
control system is affected will be presented for this project using the SHEL
(Software, Hardware, Environment, and Live-ware) model, which details human
factors issues. The social aspect of the ATC system will be addressed by evaluating
how different components of that environment get affected by staffing
shortages, and changes in volume. Using the SHEL model, the social
aspect can be addressed under live-ware and environment.
The improvements the NAS is experiencing
through NexGen will help to illustrate areas of technology affecting ATC
as well as the implementation of UAS. Perhaps the most critical component of
implementing so many new aircraft into the NAS, is the technology that supports
this type of aircraft is being incorporated. Going from ground-based navigation
to satellite-based navigation will enhance an air traffic controller’s ability
to accurately identify aircraft. Other countries have incorporated drone
technology into their NAS (global, multimodal) which this
project will review to see if there are certain political or
technological advances these other countries have made to make it possible for
UAS to operate, and how they adequately staff their ATC workforce. The environmental
impacts of this implementation will be reviewed, as delays due to
staffing could become costly and problematic for the air transportation
industry. This project is seeking to find gaps/needs in technology,
legislature, training, and correct headcount for amount of air traffic expected
over the next 20 years, and to provide future recommendations.
Program
Outcome #2
The student will be able to
identify and apply appropriate statistical analysis, to include techniques in
data collection, review, critique, interpretation and inference in the aviation
and aerospace industry.
Air traffic control shortages stem from the
Professional Air Traffic Controllers Organization (PATCO) strike that occurred
during President Reagan’s administration in 1981. This strike and the onslaught
of layoffs has since hindered the FAA in being able to adequately staff for
traffic which, with the impending changes expected to occur with the
implementation of UAS, is problematic. Data is available on staffing, there
are also several studies conducted that highlight air traffic control workload.
This data will be collected and then utilized to compare and analyze human
factor related issues on workload, performance, and efficiency. Using this
study and data points from the FAA, this data will then be analyzed using an ANOVA test to
infer if the hypothesis that was proposed will be accepted or rejected. The
dependent variable for this project will be air traffic control performance and
the independent variable for this project will be variance in traffic
density. To construct this statistical
analysis, traffic load index will be the primary factor measured. The study to
be used for this will be one performed by Ames Research center. The study
itself simulates air traffic control workload when UAS are present. The study
itself utilizes controllers with prior experience and investigates UAS impact
on performance and efficiency of the air traffic controller.
Program
Outcome #3
The student will be able
across all subjects to use the fundamentals of human factors in all aspects of
the aviation and aerospace industry, including unsafe acts, attitudes, errors,
human behavior, and human limitations as they relate to the aviators adaption
to the aviation environment to reach conclusions.
As mentioned in program outcome # 1, the
SHEL model will be used to analyze human factors within air traffic
control. Secondary information will be utilized to analyze the same components
of SHELL, but with UAS and their operation in the NAS. Having the ability to do this will help to
illustrate what unsafe acts could be generated based on the decrease of fully
qualified controllers, and the increase in expected air traffic. Human
behavior will become a factor going forward, as controller reactions
will determine procedures that need to be sought in the legislative
process. The project will address attitudes
about how UAS operations have stricter regulations than their manned
counterparts. Mainly, this project will seek to find resolution in an area of
aviation that is still relatively new and potential issues that arise from
these sorts of operations. With UAS operations, certain human limitations take
place, as many components of UAS operations are autonomous. To mitigate these
issues, this project will look specifically at technology that aids UAS
operators as well as air traffic controllers. This will help to unveil areas of
human
limitation and how conclusions can be made to overcome and adapt to
these limitations.
Program
Outcome #4
The student will be able to
develop and/or apply current aviation and industry related research methods,
including problem identification, hypothesis formulation, and interpretation of
findings to present as solutions in the investigation of aviation/aerospace
related topic.
A quantitative study will be conducted and
the results identified to accept or reject the hypothesis that there is
a statistically significant difference for air traffic controller workload when
UAS are incorporated. The study will
examine measures on workload based off of performance and efficiency.
Controllers with previous experience in that control sector will be utilized,
and will be tested with the number of UAS present in each simulation. The UAS
will be given a simulated verbal response delay and will vary in speed (slow,
mixed, and fast). The independent variable for this project will consist of UAS,
while the dependent variable will be the air traffic controllers. As mentioned
in program outcome #2 the study that is used will compare the effects of
different levels of task load on subjective measures and performance. The key
tasks in the study were conflict detection, conflict resolution, arrival
metering (schedule conformance), and monitoring the automation when it was
completing these tasks. The
dependent variable will be a controller’s workload, what the workload looks
like under diminished automation versus what it looks like when new technology
is incorporated.
To
further illustrate the dependent variable, workload will be measured on
standard operating procedures used by air traffic controllers. This analysis
will build upon previous research and what was discovered about automation and
workload relationships. As mentioned in program outcome #2, an ANOVA test will
be utilized for the findings and will be used to make interpretations. These interpretations will help to provide
insight into future policymaking and aid technology manufacturers develop a
plan for the NAS. Secondary findings will illustrate weaknesses and strengths
of each given technology, and how to improve upon current hiring practices and
procedures.
Program
Outcome #12
The student will investigate, compare,
contrast, analyze and form conclusions to current aviation, aerospace, and
industry- related topics in unmanned aircraft and spacecraft systems, including
UAS systems, robotics and control, unmanned systems operations and payloads,
and human factors in unmanned systems.
To
better understand UAS operations, this project will investigate requirements
for UAS. This will include a detailed look at how UAS are classified,
operational requirements, technology available, and future trends of UAS
operations. A compare/contrast analysis will be completed for manned and
unmanned aircraft in similar classifications to better understand why
legislation for unmanned aircraft is stringent. Based off these findings a
thorough analysis of UAS technology, mission needs, economics, and
existing or anticipated challenges to routine use in NAS operations will be
reviewed. Forecast effects of emerging technologies as well as anticipating new
technological innovations in areas of airframes, powerplants, sensors,
communication, command and control systems, and information technology and
processing will be evaluated. Doing this analysis will provide better insight
for future policy makers, technology manufacturers, and users of the NAS. With
this review, the outcome will be to draw conclusions and recommendations on how
to best use what UAS bring to the NAS, and how to assist in air traffic control
workload going forward.
Background
of the Problem
The shortage in air traffic
control personnel can be traced back to 1981 when President Ronald Regan fired
more than 11,345 professional air traffic controllers (Macaray, 2015). The FAA’s hiring plan is designed to phase in
new hires as needed over time. This will avoid creating another major spike in
retirement eligibility in future years like the one resulting from the
retirement of controllers hired after the 1981 controller strike. There are
more than 14,000 air traffic controllers that work for the FAA, with an
additional 1,297 contracted employees, and 9,990 military controllers. This
workforce provides services within the United States to more than 24.6 million
square miles of airspace (FAA (e), 2018).
With
air traffic control, the workload an air traffic controller endures is dynamic;
the dynamic nature of the job also affects staffing projections. A driving
force behind air traffic control is workload demand. This demand is generated
by commercial as well as non-commercial flights. UAS have also operated on a
limited basis, but in recent years, their addition has made a significant
impact on controllers projected workload, mainly from a complexity standpoint.
Beginning in December of 2015, the FAA made registration for all UAS mandatory,
because of this policy change, projections and forecasts for staffing adequate
air traffic controllers has come up short.
For the NAS to operate efficiently and safe, there needs to be
sufficient qualified controllers to cover peak traffic which can be generated
from weather, daily, weekly, or seasonal variations (FAA(e), 2018).
Air
traffic controllers are restricted by hours of operation, requiring work
schedules to accurately account for staffing for high and low-volume periods.
This is unique, in the sense that it gives the FAA flexibility in staffing a
facility dependent on volume and workload.
Air traffic has hit a decline since the year 2000, but is expected to
increase as UAS begin to be further incorporated into the NAS. The FAA relies
heavily on traffic count data, which accounts for operations at a given
location. This helps to forecast staffing. Because of the nature of small UAS
(sUAS) the traffic count data that is used is misaligned.
UAS operations. As mentioned, UAS operations have only
operated in the NAS on a limited basis. This limitation stems from regulatory
concerns governing UAS operations. The primary focus of UAS operations has been
on commercial grade UAS that operate in Class A airspace (airspace above 18,000
feet mean sea level). With UAS being integrated, an area that is often
overlooked is low-level UAS (those that operate below 500 feet). This is
problematic primarily because of the volume UAS bring. By the end of May 2017,
there were nearly 772,000 registered owners of UAS that weigh between 0.55
pounds and less than 55 pounds also referred to as sUAS. By December of that
same year there were almost 100,000 more registered users, with current
projections putting that market to 3.17 million registered users in the United
States by 2021. This influx of sUAS cannot reflect accurate data, because of
reporting methodology. As mentioned earlier, the FAA utilizes traffic counts to
predict for air traffic control staffing, but these operations can only be
accounted for within controlled airspace (FAA, 2016).
For
UAS operations, because of regulations, many sUAS do not operate in classes of
airspace other than general, without prior written approval. This is where the
problem of workload and volume become a factor with regards to UAS
operations. Without technology to assist
manage this workload, or account accurately for these sort of operations, the
predictive staffing nature of “staffing to traffic” needs to be adjusted.
Economic impact of UAS. By 2025, it is
estimated that UAS will be able to create nearly 100,000 new jobs to the U.S.
economy. The economic impact of integrating UAS into the NAS will equivalate
nearly $13.6 billion within the first three years, and looks to culminate
nearly $82.1 billion by 2025. It is
proposed that integrating UAS will create almost 34,000 jobs in manufacturing
jobs and nearly 70,000 jobs related to UAS technology within the first three
years as well. Most of the manufacturing jobs will be high paying ($40,000).
Each year that UAS are not integrated, the United States loses out on nearly
$10 billion in economic impacts. This number represents almost $27.6 million
for every day UAS are not incorporated into the NAS (AUVSI, 2013).
Researcher’s Work Setting and Role
The researcher has a Bachelor’s
Degree in Air Traffic Control from Thomas A. Edison State University (TESU) is
currently working on his Masters of Aeronautical Science at Embry-Riddle
Aeronautical University (ERAU). The researcher has 5 years of experience
working as an air traffic controller at Naval Air Station Jacksonville. While serving in the United States Navy, the
researcher was an air traffic manager, and fully qualified in the tower and
radar environments. Through his experience, the researcher has faced problems
when trying to integrate UAS into the NAS and has first-hand work experience as
an air traffic controller.
Statement of the Problem
With air traffic control facing a
30-year low in fully qualified controllers, without measures in place, the NAS
will not be able to increase capacity. Air traffic control workload is dynamic,
and utilizing technology that is dated and does not offer automation, will
affect future capacity in the NAS. On the horizon is the implementation of UAS,
and this will have a profound effect on air traffic control operations and how
the NAS is managed. The inability to fully staff facilities with fully
certified controllers will thwart efforts to expedite UAS implementation. With
a projection of nearly 3.1 million sUAS users over the next decade, the lack of
updated technology, and the struggles of staffing facilities, what will occur
without countermeasures in place is yet to be seen.
Significance of the Problem
Predictive
models are needed to manage the risk of a high workload, but are generally
difficult to develop. This difficulty stems from the notion of predicting
workload is typically a multilevel problem. By 2021 the NAS is proposed to be
fully updated by NextGen, by contrast, air traffic control staffing is at a
30-year low. Given the fact that there is expected to be almost 3.1 million registered
users of sUAS by 2025, understanding air traffic control staffing now is
paramount. The reason it is paramount is without proper staffing, regulatory
concerns with the safety and efficiency of the NAS are held in limbo. The
latency between staffing, updates to technology, and incorporating new air
traffic control techniques complicates matters. Air traffic controllers rely
heavily on standard operating procedures (SOP). Without the future generation
of controllers being equipped to handle UAS operations, there will be a
butterfly effect for years to come. Addressing staffing needs now before UAS
become fully incorporated will help to adjudicate safety concerns and will help
to model updates to the NextGen system.
Limitations
The first limitation this research
brings is the limited data on sUAS operations. As the FAA begins allowing for
these operations data will become more readily available. The second limitation
is that predicting workload is subjective to the individuals’ tolerances. While
the research can provide insight, the research itself is multi-faceted and
lends itself to only being illustrative in nature. The third limitation is access to studies
involving updated technology. With NextGen implementation, automation is
expected to assist air traffic controllers and users of the NAS. While there
are studies that suggest how technology and automation can impact a
controllers’ workload, they do not cater to the technology being incorporated
specific to NextGen and UAS operations. The final limitation is complexity of
traffic at different airports. While research can illustrate an important human
factor issue, it cannot illustrate all the variances and complexities seen at
different airports.
Assumptions
This study assumes that data derived
during simulation will replicate real world scenarios. Using data from
human-in-the-loop simulations relies heavily on what the scenarios are built to
analyze. In this research, the assumption is that data can simulate UAS
operations and mimic their effect on an air traffic controllers’ workload.
Other assumptions include the data derived will be enough to illustrate a human
factor issues. It is not possible to account for every complexity in air
traffic control, the independent variable in the research can be manipulated,
but cannot account accurately for every complex issue encountered.
Review
of Relevant Literature
In 2012 a Congressional Bill was introduced
which was considered a milestone for UAS integration. With this Bill, deadlines
and expectations for integrating UAS were laid out. This Bill also introduced
waivers to initial airworthiness certification for UAS. This Bill is important
to understand as it lays out the foundation for impacts to the NAS. Whether
that be air traffic operations, flight standards, aircraft/aircrew
certification, or even evaluation of current technology (Weibel & Hansman,
2005, p. 3). Understanding how this Bill impacts future operations, it is
important to understand human factors related issues from both an air traffic
control perspective, as well as a UAS operator perspective. Comparing these two
items and collaboratively identifying areas that can be improved upon with
technologies in place, human factors plays a vital role.
Within the framework of integrating UAS, it
is critical to understand where UAS operate, how they are classified in their
operation, and what technology could be utilized to mitigate concerns. On the
other end of this spectrum is the concern of over automation. As will be
mentioned in the human factors regarding air traffic control, automation may
help workload, but is not viable solution, as it causes secondary human factors
issues. The literature review will detail these issues and analyze some key
talking points. To understand what can be affected, and how it will be
affected, can bring light to solutions on how to mitigate these issues when
integration inevitably occurs. With projections by 2025 of nearly four million
registered users of “hobby-type” UAS, neglecting these concerns related to
human factors, could cause a ripple effect in the NAS in the years to come.
ATC
Human Factors
An area that is often reviewed
when talking about operational performance is air traffic control. The
personnel involved, how they handle workload, their interactions with their
tools, these items are critical areas to understand when speaking about UAS
integration. The significance of these problems varies from small to large,
dependent upon the individual and what the individual is given to combat these
human factors. To better understand what
these elements are comprised of, the SHEL model will be utilized and explained
in detail. Primarily SHEL represents Software, Hardware, Environment, and
Liveware (Human component). Each component of the SHEL can be looked at as an
interface the controller would operate on. The interaction between liveware and
software is one interface, environment and software could be looked at as
another interface, and throughout these varying interfaces there are matches
and mismatches that make up the bigger element of human factors in ATC. Each match is just as important of any
mismatch, because characteristics of each can be looked at to improve a human
factor related issue, or could eventually lead to human error. Each interface
has its very own definition and they are listed below (International Civil
Aviation Organization, Human factors
digest, 1993, pp. 34-40):
- Software – This interface
can be looked at as the standard operating procedures, i.e. the rules,
written documents, and procedures controllers need to abide by. In this
realm, software needs to adequately account for what controllers are
expected to do, if software does not meet this demand, then it is
considered ineffective software.
- Hardware – For this
interface, we would look at how the hardware was configured, the different
control features, surfaces, what displays are available, and how they
operate at a functional level i.e. does it tell the controller of an
impending issue with one of the controls?
- Environment - For this interface, we review areas such as the social
and economic climate of an air traffic controllers working environment.
Essentially the stimuli a controller is around throughout the day, are
there impacts to the natural environment (ergonomics).
- Liveware – One of the most important interfaces is Liveware as it
focuses on the controller itself, how they interact with other
controllers, pilots, maintenance personnel, this can be looked at as human
to human interaction or the human element itself.
Human
element (ATC). As mentioned above,
there are interfaces in which an air traffic controller works within that
define the SHEL model. The interface that has a direct correlation with how the
other interfaces perform is the liveware interface. Within the liveware interface
discussions about the human element are unveiled. To focus further on what that
means it is important to focus on this liveware component and understand the
complexities it brings to the other interfaces. Under this realm of liveware or
the “human element” items to review include stress, boredom, error prevention,
needs while at work, function of teams, attitudes, fatigue,
confidence/complacency, and individual preferences.
Stress is an area that air traffic
controllers are often exposed to, and need to endure. It is one of the most
relatable elements of the SHEL interfaces. Stress is often caused by being
overly saturated with tasks, the innate feeling of being timely, feelings of
responsibility, and when their worksite does not provide adequate equipment or
the equipment fails. Another area that
comes up frequently in the liveware interface is boredom. While this area of
the human interface has not been researched well, controllers thrive on tasks,
it is when the tasks become overly automated that controllers begin making
errors. To combat some of these errors controllers heavily rely on a job/task
analysis which can predict errors. Many of these errors are generated from the
devices controllers use, it is the machine and human interface that helps to
predict a controller’s susceptibility to causing an error (International Civil
Aviation Organization, Human factors
digest, 1993, pp. 34-40).
Looking at the liveware to liveware
connections, controllers rely on their team. Team functionality and needs at
work play a critical role in day to day operations. When a team is operating at
a high level, they do not need as much of the other SHEL interfaces. When a
team is not functioning at a high level, in the instance of a trainee or
equipment malfunction, the individual controller will require more of each SHEL
interface. Another issue that plays into
liveware is a controller’s attitude. Controllers live by an ethos, they are
expected to be “perfect” because an error could cost lives. The team
environment plays a factor in this attitude. A buy in of sorts, where
controllers set a systematic attitude at the worksite. Each one of the SHEL
interfaces contribute to this attitude, as well as the items mentioned
already. When considering these
elements, items like fatigue, confidence/complacency, and individual preference
also become an operational factor (International Civil Aviation Organization, Human factors digest, 1993, pp. 34-40).
Each controller has individual needs at
work, and thus each controller has their own unique ability and aptitude to
complete a certain task, this plays a role in fatigue. In saying this, there is
no one size fits all approach to workload management. Having said this, it
means that a certain level automation for one controller, may not be necessary
for another controller. This is important as we discuss integrating UAS and
what tools become available with NextGen being implemented. Air traffic
controllers tend to be great decision makers who continuously solve problems
throughout a shift. Controllers depend on a certain level of confidence,
whereby they are tested, but not so tested they cannot complete a task. On the
alternative spectrum, if a controller is never tested, they become
complacent. Lastly, individual
preference determines that team environment/attitude at work. For automation to
be effective, it would have to work for 95% of the team. There is no one size
fits all approach when speaking of individual preferences, there must be enough
flexibility in the automation process, to allow for these preferences to occur (International
Civil Aviation Organization, Human
factors digest, 1993, pp. 34-40).
Automation. Air traffic control technology, more
specifically, automation technology, has been afforded the ability to advance
steadily with a level of sophistication. A variety of techniques have been used
to measure this automation. Within the complexities of air traffic control,
automation has to account for data such as, data displays, failure detection
and diagnosis, data/voice communication, trajectory profiles, and weather
prediction. Having automation could supplement a controller in the decision
making process, but never replace a controller. It is simply there as a tool to
help a controller plan (Wickens, Mavor, & McGee, 1997).
While these technologies have advanced and
become more sophisticated, they cannot replace the role an air traffic control
plays when orchestrating the movement of aircraft. Each automation tool becomes
crippled by the model used to develop them. Automation capabilities are only as
good as what they are modeled after. The
human element in this automation thus becomes an important piece of the puzzle.
Controllers in this complex and ever changing environment have a need to act in
a supervisory capacity over each system and subsystem. Controllers in turn,
need to be able to step in when automation fails. What makes air traffic
control a unique environment, and is favorable to human interaction, is how
much more flexible, adaptable, and creative, we are as humans. A machine can
assist the human, but cannot account for the unpredictable nature of air
traffic control (Wickens, Mavor, & McGee, 1997).
Human
Factors Considerations (UAS)
Systematically the air traffic
control system as well as the NAS are sophisticated, but they are also very
complex. When discussing integration of
UAS, a key element is human factors, but just as important is understanding the
degree of complexity. One of the principle concerns with UAS operations is
establishing guidelines for how they will impact human factor related issues.
UAS operations have many of the same facets to their manned counterpart, but
there are also elements that are dissimilar. The dissimilarities are namely
sensory isolation for the pilot operating the UAS. This isolation poses a variety of blockades
that reduce human performance but also included within the realm of human
factors issues for UAS operators are the following: loss of sensory cues; vital
for flight controls, inability to scan the environment (the vehicle itself),
and delays with communication and control of the UAS. There are some other outlying factors within
the UAS community where an operator will operate multiple UAS, which lends
itself to a heavy workload without the proper automation in place (McCarley, 2005).
Human
factors issues. Within UAS operations there are varying degrees of
automation, dependent upon platform and platform mission. UAS can operate
almost identical to a manned aircraft (stick and rudder) for a manual set up,
or UAS can be fully automated with very little user input other than
acknowledgement. This varying degree of automation is helpful to understand
because it is inverse to the automation needed for air traffic control. Just
like in air traffic control automation lends itself to being beneficial, but
can also be a cause in human error. Each level of automation contains an
element of cognition. With the first level of automation, the manual mode, the
UAS operator is under a heavy cognitive load. This level of automation is
susceptible to factors of isolation, as well as communication delays, these all
add to the cognitive workload of the operator. Conversely, examining the other
end of the spectrum, full automation, it can be inferred that UAS operators
lack the ability to intervene appropriately. The automation when a UAS is fully
automated leads UAS operators in a degraded state of situational awareness and
allows them to fall further “out-of-the-loop.”
Operators of UAS need the same considerations when discussing
automation, albeit there are different requirements, a lot of the same rules
apply here (McCarley,
2005).
An integral part of integrating UAS is the
ability to provide adequate separation from other aircraft. While this seems
straightforward in practice, consider an environment where weather is degraded,
consider when there is equipment related issues, or consider when task
saturation displaces situational awareness.
While in good weather and within line-of-sight (LOS), UAS operations can
run smoothly, in general. Where this becomes a human factor related issue is
when that sensory isolation kicks into overdrive. Primarily, when there is bad
weather, or a UAS operator attempts to operate beyond-line-of-sight (BLOS),
human factors considerations become even more paramount when consider the NAS. UAS operators rely heavily on their sensors,
these sensors help operators detect, see, and avoid (DSA) other aircraft. As
mentioned however, the ability to do so when weather is degraded becomes very
difficult.
There are emerging technologies out to
assist UAS operators with DSA, primarily through communication, navigation, and
surveillance technologies supported by NextGen. ADS-B, which will be discussed
later, plays an instrumental piece of DSA.
While these elements help the case for integration, considerations still
need to be made for non-cooperative anomalies (birds, aircraft not equipped
with equipment, etc.). These functions
become a requirement then vise an option. With these functions in mind, there
are two very important human factors issues that arise from them (McCarley, 2005).
One expectation is that UAS operators are
likely to operate in an error prone system. Saying that means automated target
recognition can be imperfect, more specifically when the system is expected to
generate early alerts (collision avoidance, provide an operator ample time and
distance to evade). The second expectation of UAS operators is that they will
be faced with a flawed DSA system. This is a big consideration because when DSA
is not working effectively, the operator is under even more pressure to
effectively monitor their other sensors.
These concurrent responsibilities and expectations provide insight into
how automation plays a factor and how to effectively manage DSA (McCarley,
2005).
Sensory isolation. Because operators of UAS are separated from
the physical aircraft, sensory inputs are no longer received. In manned
aircraft flight, sensory information is routinely fed to the pilot, UAS pilots
do not receive this. This has a direct impact on a UAS operator’s environment,
and they become dependent on information fed to them via sensors. This information comes from the datalink
system that is coupled with the ground control station (GCS) that operators
often work at. This datalink dependency could and often does, lead to
degradation in imaging, a limited viewing range, and a lack of feel for
aircraft characteristics. Without sensory cues such as sound,
kinesthetic/vestibular information, and visual input, it is often difficult for
UAS operators to have full situational awareness within their operating
environment (McCarley,
2005).
Datalink delays. As mentioned before, datalinks play a crucial
role in information fed to the UAS operator. One of the factors to consider is
how profound the affect is on human factors when datalink delays occur. This
delay in communication/feedback can seriously degrade a UAS operator’s
performance. What makes this difficult is that there are no systems or methods
to predict the varying degrees of delay. The inability to predict these delays
leads a pilot to over compensate rather than give a fixed response based off
aircraft characteristics, as we often see in manned aircraft. This delay could
be the difference for controllers adequately separating aircraft or not. When
controllers know characteristics of an aircraft and that aircraft’s
performance, they have an expectation of what the aircraft will do. This
anticipatory response that controllers use, can be drastically altered if a
pilot receives a delay in feedback. These disruptions to the NAS make the
system less predictable, meaning workload increases for all users of the system
(McCarley,
2005).
Automation.
With UAS there is a general expectation that some operators may
have a need to control multiple UAS. This will require some form of automation
from the UAS itself. The additional undertaking for a UAS operator will
increase workload but decrease situational awareness (SA) unless automation is
incorporated. This relates back to the human-machine interfaces. This principle
relates back to the same ideas presented under air traffic control automation.
What this implies that the ground control station (GCS) will require a friendly
enough user interface that will not inhibit a UAS operator from operating
multiple UAS at the same time (Fern & Shively, 2009).
Types
of UAS operations
Understanding the domain in which UAS
operate helps to identify the integration process as well as how they correlate
to human factor related issues. The FAA outlined operations as either being
civil operations, public operations, or model aircraft operations. UAS
operators that fall under civil operations are governed by Title 49 of the
United States Code, U.S.C. § 40102(a) (41) which provides the definition for “public
aircraft.” § 40125 provides governance
of appropriate qualifications to be appropriated with public aircraft status. Should
this status not be granted, aircraft are then classified as civil operations.
Under civil operations, operators may gain authorization in one of two ways.
Either a Part 107 license or a special airworthiness certificate (SAC) (Huerta,
2013).
For pubic operations (governmental) the FAA
authorizes operators a way to obtain a Certificate of Authorization (COA). When
using a COA, the operator is granted permission to operate for their UAS for a
specific time, place, and airframe. This airframe would have had to go through
a screening to meet guidelines set out by the FAA, which would deem that
airframe safe to operate in that airspace. Typical users that fall under this
COA are entities such as law enforcement, border patrol, military training, and
other sorts of Government related industry. Users are restricted to
line-of-sight rules, and must not operate in a populated area ("Public
Operations (Huerta, 2013).
Lastly, operations can be identified as
hobby or recreation use. These sorts of operations fall under Subtitle B
Section 336 of Public Law 112-95 formerly known as the FAA modernization and
reform act of 2012. According to this doctrine, aircraft shall be flown
strictly for hobby or recreational use, cannot weigh more than 55 lbs., shall
not interfere with other aircraft operations, and will notify air traffic
control if the aircraft will be flown within 5 miles of an airport. These
operations will not require prior authorization if they are operating under
these parameters (Huerta, 2013).
How
are they doing it?
Unmanned
aircraft have begun operations outside of the United States. This is an
important piece to understand, because there is policy in place in those
Countries that is allowing them to do this. While the United States is
generally considered the busiest airspace in the world, aviation laws and
regulations tend to play the same tune across the world. The main difference is
the governing bodies. In the United States, Federal Aviation Regulations (FARs)
are the rules to abide by, these are complemented by the FAA. So how do other
Countries have the ability to operate unmanned aircraft? They pose the same
challenges else ware, yet, Australia, Canada, Finland, Italy, Malaysia, Sweden,
and the UK, have managed to create less restrictive regulations and appear to
be miles ahead in integrating UAS into their airspace (Dalamagkidis, Valavanis,
& Piegl, 2008).
ICAO
(International Civil Aviation Organization) is an international aviation entity
that has had involvement in integrating UAS into different countries since
2005. Their involvement in these various Countries helped to create several
task forces, which inevitably led to those Countries developing regulations
regarding UAS. Within those regulations,
it was found that most of the Countries that have less restrictive regulations,
review a “level of equivalent safety.” Using this method to evaluate UAS, Dalamagkidis,
Valavanis, & Piegl (2008) stated the following:
“Regulatory airworthiness standards should
be set to be no less demanding than those currently applied to comparable
manned aircraft nor should they penalize UAS systems by requiring compliance
with higher standards simply because technology permits.”
The United States seeks to do the same
thing, but due to the vastly more complex nature of the U.S. NAS, it is
difficult to apply the same principles. In addition to this, it is often hard
to have an equivalent level of safety defined on UAS due to their uniqueness.
An example with this would be regulatory concerns involving cockpits. Cockpits
have a standard that is required by regulation to be met. In order to have an
equivalent level of safety, there would need to be a standard for UAS regarding
the cockpit.
This is where regulatory concerns and
integration hit a plateau. To fully integrate UAS, a subset of regulations
would need to be built upon specific to UAS, with their manned counterparts in
mind. Operationally, they should have equivalent levels of safety,
understandably, it is difficult to define this area of safety due to humans
being detached from the aircraft. The primary difference between the United
States and the other Countries mentioned, is the complexity of the
airspace. The U.S. often sets a
precedence on aviation regulations, which are then adopted by other countries,
in this case, the United States. We may very well adopt some of the policies
from countries successful in integrating UAS, but the United States will take a
cautionary approach to their integration efforts (Dalamagkidis, Valavanis,
& Piegl, 2008). Across all the Countries mentioned, their largest
regulatory concern stems from incorporating small unmanned aircraft systems
(sUAS).
sUAS
concerns
Correlating these two areas of human factors
we need to go back and review the Congressional Bill introduced in 2012. In
this Bill an area that needs perhaps the most consideration is how to integrate
small UAS (sUAS). In 2012, Congress allowed
these operations to occur under an exemption, named Section 333. This has
exemption has since become adopted and is known as Part 107 to Tile 14 of the
Code of Federal Regulations (CFR). This addition to Title 14 of the CFR allows
routine operations of sUAS and illustrates operating procedures and rules for
those operators (Foxx, 2015). In these rules it is stated that pilots can fly
one half hour before official sunrise, and one-half hour after sunset if the
UAS is properly equipped with collision avoidance lights (red and green lights
for identification). Additional
requirements for these operations are that they: will take place in an area
where visibility is at least 3 statute miles, the sUAS stays below 400 feet
above ground level (AGL), they will not exceed a speed greater than 100 miles
per hour (mph), and will not weigh more than 55 pounds (lbs.).
Risk associated with integration of small
UAS. With these considerations,
sUAS pose a different threat than larger UAS because of their operational characteristics.
Larger UAS carry sensors that help detect, see, and avoid other aircraft, hence
why they are not as limited. The size of sUAS plays a factor in DSA, even
though their size is not as much a public concern, it is a concern when
integrating them with the NAS. There are
two concerns that raise risk with sUAS. The first one relates back to earlier
mentions of human factors, and that is can the pilot effectively detect, see,
and avoid other aircraft/objects? Can other pilots operating in the NAS detect,
see, and avoid sUAS? The idea here is will the operator of a sUAS feel just as
liable should something go wrong? The physical separation from the aircraft
plays a factor in this decision (Foxx, 2015).
The other issue that creates risks echoes
the same ideas of datalink delays from earlier. The systematic failure of any
of the SHEL interfaces will lead to an interruption in the NAS. sUAS rely
heavily on their datalink, and because of their size, are not nearly as robust
as one would see on larger UAS. Lost link procedures vary across different
sUAS, their programming or their “software” plays an important role as to what
they will do. The inability to have effective control over this aircraft, and
without safety measures in place is where workload on a controller becomes a
concern. The inability to effectively predict a flight path, becomes a serious
problem as we navigate how to effectively integrate not only UAS, but sUAS
which will make up a majority of the market in years to come (Foxx, 2015).
Sense-and-avoid concerns. This cannot be reiterated enough,
sense-and-avoid or see-and-detect, become the foundation for how sUAS will
operate. As it sits now, there is not a technology available that will fully
mitigate the paradigm of these issues. While we can create systems that will
mimic what a pilot on board would see, what we lack still is sensory
deprivation. Without providing sensory inputs to the pilot, and ensuring
datalink delays are mitigated (to a point where they are almost negligible),
sense-and-avoid concerns will be looming. The inability for sUAS operators to
detect, see, and avoid aircraft like manned aircraft can do, will continue to
set the precedence on their limitations. Per 14 CFR 91.113(b) states that
“vigilance shall be maintained by each person operating an aircraft to see and
avoid other aircraft.” This limitation,
means that often sUAS require a visual observer and cannot operate BLOS (Foxx,
2015).
Lost-link concerns. Again, lost-link concerns represent a
critical piece to integration. It is the loss of positive control of an
aircraft that causes apprehensions for air traffic controllers and users of the
NAS. The datalink is the sole source of
an aircraft’s controls, without other safety measures in place, controllers and
other users alike, will not be keen on allowing these operations to occur with
the same fluidity as manned aircraft do. Manned aircraft that encounter
emergencies, can often be mitigated by the pilot in charge (PIC) and
controllers can identify these issues through communication, either visual or
auditory (Foxx, 2015).
UAS
Integration
For UAS, as with all aircraft,
the FAA acts in a dual role. As the regulator, the FAA ensures aviation safety
of persons and property in the air and on the ground. As the service provider,
the FAA is responsible for providing safe and efficient air traffic control
services in the NAS. Although aviation regulations have been developed
generically for all aircraft, until recently these efforts were not done with
UAS specifically in mind. This presents certain challenges because the
underlying assumptions that existed during the previous efforts may not now
fully accommodate UAS operations. The goal of safely integrating UAS without
segregating, delaying, or diverting other aircraft and other users of the
system presents significant challenges. The FAA recognizes that current UAS
technologies were not developed to comply with existing airworthiness
standards. Current civil airworthiness regulations may not consider many of the
unique aspects of UAS operations. Materials properties, structural design
standards, system reliability standards, and other minimum performance
requirements for basic UAS design need to be evaluated against civil
airworthiness standards for existing aircraft.
As UAS are introduced, their expected range
of performance will need to be evaluated for impact on the NAS.
UAS operate with widely varying performance
characteristics that do not necessarily align with manned aircraft performance.
They vary in size, speed, and other flight capabilities. Similarly, the issue
of performance gap between the pilot and the avionics will impact NAS
operations. For example, a quantitative time standard for a pilot response to
ATC directions (such as “turn left heading 270, maintain FL250”) does not exist
– there is an acceptable delay for the pilot’s verbal response and physical
action, but there is no documented required range of acceptable values.
Avionics that perform the corresponding function cannot be designed and built without
these performance requirements being established. Existing standards ensure
safe operation by pilots actually on board the aircraft. These standards may
not translate well to UAS designs where pilots are remotely located off the
aircraft. Removing the pilot from the aircraft creates a series of performance
considerations between manned and unmanned aircraft that need to be fully
researched and understood to determine acceptability and potential impact on
safe operations in the NAS.
Future Technology
An integral part of understanding how air
traffic controllers will be affected by UAS operations will be the technology
available. NexGen is perhaps the largest component in updating the NAS to
modernize and advance aviation in the United States from a ground based
surveillance system to a satellite based surveillance system. There are several
components that encompass NexGen, but the one that has the most significant
impact is Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast or ADS-B. This technology will be federally mandated to
be equipped on almost all aircraft operating in controlled airspace with ADS-B
out being required by 2020. Other technologies that are expected to help air
traffic controllers and UAS operators are system wide information management
(SWIM), National voice system (NVS), Terminal automation modernization and
replacement (TAMR), Low-Altitude tracking and avoidance system (LATAS), Low
Altitude Authorization and Notification Capability (LAANC), and Unmanned
Traffic Management (UTM).
Air
traffic control technology
Air
traffic control is complex, understanding technologies that are being rolled
out as part of the NextGen package, are important in helping to identify how
they will increase productivity whilst decreasing workload. Part of this technology
includes NVS, SWIM, and TAMR. Additionally, ADS-B plays an integral role of a
larger picture when dealing with air traffic control. This is a high-level
overview of what each technology will offer, identifying these items are
crucial to help develop a case for controller and UAS operator interactions.
The ability to understand these technologies will further reinforce how
workload can be affected based off of these technologies. Perhaps the most
important technology that will become accessible to controllers and UAS
operators alike will be the use of ADS-B. These items will be addressed in the
paragraphs to follow.
ADS-B technology will be the successor to
many of the systems that are currently in place. This is a milestone technology
that updates the NAS from older legacy RADAR systems to satellite based
navigation. This technology will be used to provide data such as airspeed,
location, and other data that is appropriate (aircraft identification etc.)
This data would be received and broadcasted to a network of ground stations, in
turn relaying that data to users such as air traffic controllers and UAS
operators. Not only will it provide information about the status of a flight,
but will also help to generate weather and traffic related information,
deliverable to cooperating users. In saying cooperative users, it is those
users that have the technology installed, it is a situational awareness tool.
Two key elements of ADS-B help provide information critical to users of the
NAS. They are ADS-B out, and TIS-B which will be explained in paragraphs to
follow (FAA (a), 2018).
ADS-B
out. One of the required components of ADS-B will be ADS-B out,
required by 2020. ADS-B out is meant to
replace legacy RADAR systems. In legacy RADAR systems, the sweep rate (rate
which radar scans for aircraft) is every 5 to 12 seconds. With ADS-B out, this
time is reduced to around a second. This increase in scan rate helps provide up
to date information for all users. In
the current system, radio waves can be obstructed, meaning long range
communication is more difficult. ADS-B itself utilizes smaller stations, and
will help to mitigate these issues. ADS-B provides a much better depiction of
aircraft and their information, regardless of obstructions (FAA (a), 2018).
TIS-B. Traffic information service-broadcast
(TIS-B) is like ADS-B. The optional
component of ADS-B is ADS-B in which would allow other aircraft to “see” each
other, so long as both aircraft are ADS-B equipped. In the event one aircraft
is equipped and one is not, is where TIS-B comes into play. TIS-B uses an
aircraft’s position and altitude from air traffic control radars, and converts
that to a compatible format for ADS-B. This information is then broadcasted to
other ADS-B users via one of two ADS-B datalinks (FAA (a), 2018).
Other important technologies for air
traffic control include NVS, which will replace how voice switches operate at
facilities. NVS allows for the FAA Telecommunications Infrastructure (FTI) to
go from independent operations to shared operations. This technology will help
to provide sustainable two-way communications, enhance monitoring capabilities,
and provide a better means to route communications. It will allow air traffic
control facilities to move communications to a neighboring facility should one
facility be overworked due to weather. This will ensure continuous frequency
usage (FAA, 2017).
Another
critical piece of NexGen is SWIM. SWIM will allow air traffic management the
ability to share information with other qualified systems. It is essentially
the backbone of digital data-sharing in NexGen. SWIM Terminal Data Distribution System (STDDS)
will take raw data from the surface data.
This data will be put into information accessible by tower controllers
to achieve a “big picture.” Essentially this is an intra-facility device that
correlates what the Terminal Radar Approach Control (TRACON) is doing for
sequence with the tower. Currently this system is available at 38 TRACONS, this
system will team up with other components of SWIM to provide airlines and
airports valuable arrival and departure information. This system also enhances flow control, which
will balance traffic demands with capacity and allow controllers to better
calculate end-to-end trajectories (FAA(c), 2018).
Lastly
is TAMR. TAMR looks to replace outdated legacy RADAR systems within the air
traffic control network. Figure 1. Illustrates the drastic differences between
the two systems.
Figure 1. Comparison
of ARTS to STARS (Old and New) RADAR systems. Retrieved from:
https://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/technology/tamr/
TAMR is unique as
it allows air traffic control systems to display digital “targets” versus
analog targets. Targets in air traffic control represent aircraft, each
“target” displays an aircraft with a primary and secondary “target.” Primary
data is depicted as a blue rectangle, secondary data is the aircraft callsign,
altitude, and indicated airspeed. Additional information can be annotated in
the secondary data block by air traffic control input. STARS will also allow
for six levels of precipitation to be displayed that range from light
precipitation to extreme precipitation. This system allows for individual
preferences to be set, as well as more accurate airspace depictions.
Adaptations are performed monthly on STARS allowing for the display to be
current. According to the FAA STARS is expected to be fully implemented by 2020
(FAA (d), 2018).
Air traffic management technology
Critical
to the future infrastructure of the NAS is how air traffic will be managed,
more specifically, how that airspace will be managed with UAS being
incorporated. As more and more aircraft are put into the NAS, the ability to
maintain performance at capacity will be dependent on future air traffic
management technologies. Some of these technologies were mentioned in the
previous section, ADS-B, SWIM, but this section will review systems like UTM,
LATAS, and LAANC. As part of the technology overview, it is critical to
understand what technology will be available to help manage UAS.
UTM.
In May of 2018 NASA in conjunction with the FAA produced a proof of concept for
UTM. Due to the large integration of
low-altitude UAS operations, there are a variety of challenges that are
presented. One of the solutions to these challenges is the use of UTM. This
technology will be utilized predominately by sUAS. It will be an operator to
operator based service. This means UAS operators will be responsible for
coordination, management, and execution of their operations. This technology is
expected to help assist air traffic controllers in both controlled and
uncontrolled airspace by geofencing the operational area. In general, UTM is
expected to service areas at or below 400 feet above ground level (AGL). While
only a concept, this technology will seek to authorize and evaluate operations.
As more data becomes available the system will be flexible and evolve to meet
needs (Federal Aviation Administration, 2018).
LATAS.
Like UTM, LATAS seeks to provide services to sUAS at low-altitudes as well. The
primary difference is UTM will be a system whereas LATAS is more of a hardware
package one could install on their UAS. This is a subsidiary program that is
being utilized under the umbrella of UTM. The intent of LATAS is to provide
better visual awareness to UAS operators at low-level altitudes. It will do so
by providing a heads-up display (HUD) that depicts where other aircraft are,
and provide heat maps for terrain and obstacles where UAS pilots are operating.
The system itself is currently used in 128 countries and is being tested under
the FAA’s Pathway program (LATAS, 2018).
LAANC.
Another technology that is
expected to be completely rolled out by September 2018 is the Low Altitude
Authorization and Notification Capability (LAANC). This technology is a
collaborative effort between the FAA and the UAS industry. It is meant to
directly support UAS and their integration into the NAS. This technology will
work to provide near real-time authorization requests for UAS operators to
operate in controlled airspace. LAANC allows for the authorization process to
be automated to receive approval. UAS operators would use this to apply for
airspace authorization for operations under 400 feet in controlled airspace.
Users that want to operate above this 400-foot restriction may apply up to 90
days early and receive manual authorization to do so. Working in a similar
fashion to the other systems mentioned, this system further reduces workload by
providing automation to authorizations. The ability for the system to do this
automatically will assist controllers in the future (FAA (b), 2018).
Workload factors
To
understand how these technologies will impact controllers, it is important to have
the ability to estimate workload. Because of the complex domain of workload
estimation, there have been several published studies. In past estimation
studies, workload was focused in on air traffic controllers directly, the
studies utilize traffic count and complexity matrices. The limitation to this
is that these studies did not capture individual preferences. An alternative
approach to evaluate workload is to focus on complexity factors. Researchers
have worked on ATC workload measurement since the 1960s. The consensus is that
ATC workload is affected by objective factors (e.g., traffic count, complexity
of airspace/crossing routes) and human factors, such as those listed in the
SHEL model. Amongst these factors, controllers work can be viewed as either
visible work or invisible work (Song, Chen, Li, Zhang, & Bi, 2012).
The visible work would correspond to items
such as observable work (recordable work). Invisible work would then represent
a controller’s intellectual work, which is viewed as cognitive workload.
Invisible work is harder to measure because it involves physiological and
psychological factors. In air traffic control, if there are only a few
aircraft, control actions are determined easily as potential conflicts are
easily resolved. As the traffic count increases, along with complexity,
workload increases due to cognitive workload (Song, Chen, Li, Zhang, & Bi,
2012).
Presently
there are two methods that are effective at measuring workloads: DORATASK and
MBB. In both methods control actions are classified first, with an evaluation
placed at how quickly the control action takes place or the “instruction time.”
These methods do have limitations (1)
due to the changing environment of ATC, any evaluations that have been made,
will have to be redone once change occurs, and (2) the methods do not factor in
sector structure (complexity of airspace) (Song, Chen, Li, Zhang, & Bi,
2012).
Mogford
et al. (1995) summarized 40 factors that affect complexity in the airspace.
This study was built on previous research done in the field, and pointed out
that these 40 factors are fundamentally the reasons for change that affect
workload. Within the construct of their research they classified workload into
five factor categories: static airspace, dynamic, human, equipment, and
unexpected. Table 1 illustrates these categories.
Table
1
Workload Categories
|
Category
|
Factors
|
|
Static airspace
|
Number
of airport terminals
•
Number of intersecting flight paths
•
Airline hub location
•
Special use airspace
•
Sector geometry
•
Sector size
•
Requirements for longitudinal and lateral spacing
•
Number of altitudes used
|
|
Dynamic
|
•
Aircraft density:
-
Number of aircraft
-
Traffic distribution
-
Aircraft density or traffic volume
•
Conflict:
-
Presence of conflicts
-
Preventing conflicts (crossing or overtake)
•
Other:
-
Aircraft handled in prior time interval (e.g.,
last hour)
-
Number of arrivals
-
Number of emergencies
-
Number of special flights
-
Coordination
-
Traffic mix (arrivals, departures, and over
flights)
-
Number of path changes
-
Traffic flow structure
-
Clustering of aircraft
-
Mixture of aircraft types
-
Climbing and descending aircraft
-
Number of military flights
-
Aircraft routing
|
|
Human Factors
|
•
Staffing
•
Number of communications with aircraft
•
Number of communications with other sectors
•
Number of handoffs and printouts
•
Control adjustments involved in merging and
spacing
•
Number of required procedures
•
Handling pilot requests
|
|
Equipment Factors
|
•
Equipment Status
•
Radar Coverage
•
Frequency Congestion
|
|
Unexpected Factors
|
•
Weather conditions
•
Weather and its severity
•
Other
|
Source:
Mogford, R. H., Guttman J.A., Morrow S.L., et al. (1995). “The complexity
construct in air traffic control: A review and synthesis of the literature.”
DOT/ FAA/CT2TN95/22.
Summary
This
literature review demonstrated several factors that affect air traffic
controllers. An area of concern was illustrated at the beginning of this
project, primarily the tremendous growth potential expected from UAS
operations. This growth creates a demand for air traffic control services, and
places a considerable amount of pressure on the NAS. The literature review
illustrated what the task environment of an air traffic controller looks like
and provides a better understanding of the necessity to monitor and control
workload as traffic density increases. Characteristics of ATC complexity can be
used to analyze how these factors can affect the controller’s workload.
Another
critical element found during the literature review demonstrated how controller
cognitive strategies, information displays related issues, and personal
factors, can vary complexity factors across different personnel. Essentially stating that complexity is not
experienced nor handled the same by each controller. This ties back into the
SHEL model, whereby each controller has different interactions with each
interface. These varying levels of complexity are dependent on sector structure
(i.e. airspace complexity) as well as traffic flow patterns. In addition, the
literature pointed to the overall quality of the human-machine interface. The
human-machine interface quantifies how a controller will cognitively process and
adopt strategies to complete a task based on that technology.
A
variety of technologies were introduced when reviewing the literature,
illustrating advancements that will be made in the future with NexGen. These
technologies demonstrate a level of automation that is not currently in the
NAS. As mentioned in the SHEL model, automation can be good if it is moderated.
Too much automation will lead to complacency and will harm the NAS in safety,
should issues arise. There were also several technologies that were introduced
that would assist controllers with their workload when discussing UAS. Having
technologies that can lessen the load for air traffic controllers in their
dynamic environment will prove to be handy in the long run, as capacity
increases and the workforce decreases.
Statement of Hypothesis
This
statistical analysis will test if
air traffic control will be affected by the incorporation of UAS. The
hypothesis is that the incorporation of UAS will have an impact on controller
performance.
Methodology
Research Model
A
qualitative, inferential approach was used in this research study. The overall
objective was to evaluate an air traffic controllers’ workload when UAS were
incorporated with conventional (non-UAS) aircraft. Data for this was collected
from a simulated study involving UAS. The construct of the model was to utilize
a varying degree of UAS (1, 2, or 4) in combination with a variance in speed
(slow, mixed, or fast), this was the independent variable in the research
model. Each UAS was assigned a fixed delay response of 1.5 seconds. UAS could
receive responses right away, but would have a delay in acknowledgement. The
conventional aircraft in the simulation were pseudo-pilots and had a near
immediate response time. In this research model the voice software that was
utilized simulated transmissions where pilots could “step” on each other,
meaning there was frequency congestion. Some transmissions would be received,
some would have to be repeated for acknowledgement. Each of the simulations
would run for 40 minutes.
This research model reflects the
same criterion on workload measurement that was discussed in workload factors.
The simulation itself involved static airspace (ZLA airspace) in addition to
utilizing intersecting flight paths. Dynamic workload factors were also
measured in the airspace by changing the speed and number of aircraft involved.
This contributes to the density of traffic. Regarding the human factor element
of the research model, measurements were made on hand-off times and controllers
were expected to coordinate with each other. Equipment related issues involved
a fixed communication delay with UAS, simulating the potential delays expected
with future integration of UAS.
Research Population
The
research population consisted of simulated data where air traffic controllers
with previous experience were utilized (average of 25 years working air traffic
control). Eight radar-certified controllers that were familiar with the
airspace from previous work experiences, were selected to perform in the
simulation. The simulation took place over two days.
Sources of Data
The
data for this research was collected from a simulated study on air traffic
control and UAS, performed by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Ames
research center.
Reliability
The data utilized for this study is
deemed reliable as it comes from a Government resource (NASA). This data also
utilized certified professional controllers during the simulation with a sector
that they had formerly worked in with a culmination of experience averaging 25
years.
Validity
Due to the shortage of available certified
professional controllers and the impending boom of UAS being integrated with
the NAS, this study is valid on the basis of better understanding the impact
UAS have on controller workload. It is important to measure, even in a small
group, as to provide better insight about performance and efficiency standards.
While the study itself was over only a couple of days, the study itself does use
controllers that are experienced and familiar with airspace. The validity of
the data collected from this study is supported by comparing the study to human
factor issues identified in previous research. This data creates a measurable
variable on workload based on these factors.
Treatment of Data
The
data for the study was retrieved from the simulation to make an analysis. The
analysis involved using repeated measures ANOVA. ANOVA was used in lieu of
t-tests due to type 1 errors that could occur utilizing a t-test.
Results
During the analysis, air traffic
controllers were examined based on their performance for loss of separation
events and the distance an aircraft traveled through their sector (safety vs
efficiency). This is an important metric because it helps to identify what
future technology solutions should be provided.
This analysis is also critical in assisting to identify areas of human
factor related issues that need to be mitigated or potential changes to air
traffic management that need to be implemented because of the analysis.
Loss
of separation averaged a mean of 2.6 with a standard error of 0.28. This number
was not significantly impacted when UAS were present, but there was a trend
that developed demonstrating that as the number of UAS increased, so did the
occurrence of loss of separation. This is illustrated in figure 2.
Figure 2. Mean loss of separation per
number of UAS.
This linear trend
accounted for nearly 44% of the total variance in loss of separation, in
addition to this there was significance in the loss of separation, as about
half of the loss of separation events occurred with UAS involvement. Figure 2 presented F (1, 7) =5.42; with a p=
.05.
Another
observation made from this study was the significance in number of UAS x Speed
interaction representing F (4, 28) = 5.026, p=.004 as represented in figure 3.
Figure 3. UAS x Speed interaction
distance aircraft traveled through a control sector.
When one UAS was present
in the sector, conventional (non-UAS) aircraft distance covered was not
affected by UAS speed. When there were
two UAS present, the distance that conventional aircraft travelled was higher
if the UAS was at a slow speed in comparison to UAS at high speed or a mix of
speeds. When there were four UAS
present, UAS that travelled slowly would decrease the average distance
travelled in comparing the four mixed and four fast UAS.
The
last observation before controllers were evaluated for workload was the
interaction of speed and number of UAS. This metric looked at average hand-off
accept times and is demonstrated by figure 4.
Figure 4. Mean Handoff acceptance time
in seconds for Number of UAS x Speed.
In
figure 4, the main effect of workload interaction was modified by a significant
number of UAS x Speed, with data representing F (4, 28) = 3.16, p=.029
respectively. Where there was only a single UAS in the sector, hand-off
acceptance times were generally shorter so long as the UAS was slow. When there were two UAS present, at fast
speeds, hand-off accept times were comparatively shorter than when there was
two UAS present traveling at mixed speeds or slow speeds. When there were 4 UAS
present, mixed and slow speeds trended towards hand-off accept times that were
shorter comparatively to when there were constant fast speeds. This would
indicate that workload tended to be lower for slow UAS if there were either one
or four slow UAS present in the sector, but workload would increase if there
were two slow UAS present. In this simulation, there is a strong indication
that where there was a singular UAS in a sector, more aircraft would enter,
which inevitably increased a “perceived workload.” Alternatively speaking, if there were four
UAS present, less aircraft would enter a sector when comparing it to two UAS
being present. When there were two UAS present, loss of separation occurred more
frequently.
Conclusion
With
research performed by NASA, and other industry leaders, the FAA is in
collaboration in integrating UAS into the NAS with precautionary steps. Due to
the explosive growth of UAS in the near future, and a lack of fully qualified
controllers, the next five to ten years will need some serious updates to air
traffic management principles. As detailed in this project, human factor
related issues play a critical role, and knowing there is a potential for the
NAS to be crippled to some extent, the need for research to continue in human
factors related to UAS integration must be stated, and continually reviewed.
The future of air traffic management needs to account for these human factor
related issues. A risk based approach will need to be incorporated for a
successful integration to occur.
NextGen
offers several key technologies that will assist air traffic control personnel
combat workload. With that being said, and perhaps more vital, is the concept
of unmanned air traffic management. In the study that was conducted,
controllers were already navigating manned aircraft around unmanned aircraft.
If the unmanned aircraft could coordinate with themselves, and those operators,
it would eliminate the controller in that loop. By doing this controllers can
still plan and effectively work traffic, it is the delay and the level of automation
that will be the pivotal turning point in future legislation regarding UAS.
There
is a strong need for regulation specific to UAS. As detailed, the economy could
greatly benefit from the use of UAS. The issue at bay will be addressing
technology. There will be a need to have
procedural improvements as well as a need to review and mitigate safety
concerns. While integration should take place, it needs to take place at a pace
that is consistent with staffing in the NAS. This in conjunction with technology
updates should suffice until more research can be conducted.
Recommendation
Reviewing
the items detailed in this project regarding human factors in air traffic
control and integration, there are a few recommendations that would suit
industry goals. As mentioned previously,
regulation needs to be fair, regulation should not hinder progress. Albeit, UAS
present different challenges, the NAS works very well for a reason. For
integration to take place, and to assist in human factor issues, regulation must
stay consistent, to a degree. While not all regulation will be consistent, due
to the unique nature of UAS, there should be enough consistency that air
traffic control can still work as intended.
Building
on the concepts presented in this research project, a continual risk-based
approach will be needed to have success. As more data becomes available, and
further research can be conducted in to human factor related issues, more
integration can occur. The industry i.e. UAS manufacturers, should take the lead
in developing guidelines. These guidelines will need to be vetted, and
demonstrated in simulations before making hasty regulation that would not allow
for full integration. There is a continual need to simulate air traffic, this
helps to synthesis data and create alternative solutions. Simulating data can
be useful in creating better automation tools for controllers, it would need to
be a meta-data analysis rather than small studies. To truly gain insight into
areas that need to be addressed, there needs to be adequate data. Because new technology is on the horizon,
and new traffic management solutions are being presented; it is highly
recommended that each of these technological advances, are looked at with
microscopic precision.
The
scope of integrating UAS into the NAS is certainly a tall task. The NAS is not
just adding a singular experimental aircraft such as the Condor. The NAS is
seeking to add an entirely new category and class of aircraft. While the
transiting for larger UAS will not be as noticeable, the addition of sUAS will
be felt. Overall the driving force behind integration comes down to human
factors. Can the NAS support integration effectively without overworking air
traffic controllers? If it cannot, integration will need to be slowed until
this can occur.
Future
research recommendations would include review of NexGen with UAS. NexGen will
play an instrumental role in the overall development of rules and regulations
going forward. This project presented human factor issues, and utilization of
the SHEL model should continue to stay present. The SHEL model in addition to
what Mogford made observations of in air traffic control lays out the
foundation for future research. As was mentioned, it is crucial to understand
the impact of UAS, without data, there can be no progress. To truly capture
these concepts, it is strongly recommended that while integration occurs,
secondary systems exist that either take workload off controllers, or is
supplemented by automation, but not too much automation.
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